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Inflation ran above forecasts before the next Fed meeting

Published Nov 13, 2026 · Last checked Nov 13, 2026 · Last changed Nov 13, 2026
The short version

Consumer prices rose more than forecast in October, and markets expect the Federal Reserve to raise its rate in December.

For
All charters. All sizes. CFO, chief lending officer, marketing lead.

The facts

  • The Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% in October from September. Forecasters expected 0.3%.
  • Prices without food and energy rose 0.3%.
  • The Federal Reserve held its rate at 3.75% to 4% on Oct 28, 2026. Two voting members wanted a quarter-point increase.
  • The next Fed decision is due on Dec 9, 2026. On Nov 10, 2026, futures prices put the chance of a quarter-point increase at 90.5%.
  • The 30-year mortgage rate rose to 7.3%, according to Mortgage News Daily.

What it means for you

ALCO sets deposit and loan rates this month with a Fed increase expected on Dec 9, 2026.

Sources